HORMUZ STATUS Monitoring official sources

STRAIT OF HORMUZ · CURRENT STATUS

Is the Strait of Hormuz
open right now?

UNKNOWN

UNKNOWN

There is not enough current, attributable evidence to verify whether the Strait is open or closed right now.

LAST CHECKED28 Sept 2026, 00:11 UTC CONFIDENCEMEDIUM DECISION-ELIGIBLE SOURCES0

01

THE SHORT ANSWER

Unknown — there is not enough current evidence to answer open or closed responsibly.

Physical passage, formal restrictions, commercial conditions and safety are measured separately. A dangerous or disrupted Strait is not automatically a closed Strait.

02

CURRENT EVIDENCE

What the latest attributable data supports

Every value carries its own observation time. A successful fetch is never presented as a fresh observation.

LATEST TRANSIT ACTIVITY

stale

1vessel calls

AIS-derived PortWatch observation for . This is a trend observation, not a live ship counter.

View source data ↗

FORMAL RESTRICTIONS

unknown

UNKNOWN

Required competent-authority notice coverage is incomplete, so formal status remains unknown.

Required source coverage incomplete
Why the headline may say UNKNOWN

Trend sources can be useful without being current enough for “right now.” The site requires a passage observation no more than 24 hours old; stale, missing or conflicting evidence is excluded from the headline decision.

WHAT CHANGED

No material status dimension changed in the latest check.

Recorded 18 Sept 2026, 14:11 UTC.

RULE hormuz-status-v2

WHAT THIS MEANS TODAY

  • 01
    Physical passage

    No decision-eligible passage observation from the last 24 hours is currently stored.

  • 02
    Commercial use

    There is not enough compatible current and baseline evidence to classify normal commercial use.

  • 03
    Operational risk

    No current official safety warning was safely parsed. This is public information, not voyage advice.

03

TRAFFIC CONTEXT

Open does not mean normal

Any comparison must use the same geography, vessel scope, unit and aggregation window.

LATEST ATTRIBUTABLE TREND

1

vessel calls on 2026-09-20

COMPARABLE NORMAL BASELINE

PENDING

No compatible approved baseline is currently published.

No percentage-of-normal is shown because the available IMO and PortWatch series use different definitions. Decorative precision would be misleading.

04

SOURCE LEDGER

See what was observed — and when

Collection time, publication time and observation time are deliberately separate.

SOURCEOBSERVATIONCOLLECTEDDECISION USE
01
International Maritime Organization

A dated transit chart was published for 2026-06-25; its numeric value requires chart extraction and is not treated as a live feed.

25 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC28 Sept 2026, 00:11 UTCCONTEXT ONLY
02
IMF PortWatch / HDX

1 AIS-derived vessel calls were recorded for 2026-09-20.

20 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC28 Sept 2026, 00:11 UTCCONTEXT ONLY
03
U.S. Maritime Administration

HTTP 403 from www.maritime.dot.gov

Not exposed28 Sept 2026, 00:11 UTCFAILED
04
United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations

The public page did not expose usable timestamped evidence to this collector.

Not exposed28 Sept 2026, 00:11 UTCCONTEXT ONLY

05

WHY IT MATTERS

The Strait carries globally significant energy flows

These are backward-looking reference values, not live estimates of cargo currently moving.

≈20 million

barrels per day

about 20% of global petroleum-liquids consumption

2024 reference

≈20%

of global LNG trade

Normal LNG exposure through the Strait

2024 reference

≈2.6 million

barrels per day potentially available

Estimated capacity that may bypass the Strait

EIA estimate published 2025 reference

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration · reviewed 2026-08-10

06

METHODOLOGY

A strict answer that fails safely

The answer is generated by a versioned rule, never by a headline or an unexplained AI judgement.

  1. 01
    Collect attributable evidence

    Fetch official maritime sources and the approved PortWatch trend feed with bounded, failure-aware parsers.

  2. 02
    Validate scope and freshness

    Keep observed, published and fetched timestamps separate. Passage evidence expires after 24 hours.

  3. 03
    Decide each dimension

    Passage, formal restrictions, commercial condition and safety are evaluated independently.

  4. 04
    Fail to UNKNOWN

    Missing, stale, contradictory or insufficient evidence never becomes OPEN or CLOSED.

07

COMMON QUESTIONS

Useful follow-up answers

Answers mirror the same current record shown above.

Is the Strait of Hormuz open right now?

Unknown — there is not enough current evidence to answer open or closed responsibly.

Are ships physically passing through?

No decision-eligible passage observation from the last 24 hours is currently stored.

Has the Strait been formally closed?

Required competent-authority notice coverage is incomplete, so formal status remains unknown.

Why is shipping disrupted?

There is not enough compatible current and baseline evidence to classify normal commercial use.

How current is this answer?

The collector last ran 28 Sept 2026, 00:11 UTC. Each source row shows its own observation and collection time; only passage evidence within 24 hours can answer the headline.

Is this safe to use for voyage planning?

No. This is a public evidence summary, not navigational, legal, security, insurance or voyage-planning advice.